August 11 Eclipse of the sun
On the 11th of August, 1999, the last total eclipse of the Millennium occured
over Europe and parts
of the East. Some part of the earth was in the path from about 09:30 to 12:36 UTC.
Dick Bierman did a preliminary analysis on the data
using 2-minute blocks, and similarly analysed "control data" taken on the 10th of August.
The european RNG's showed a continuous trend towards lower
variance on both days.
There appears to be little difference between eclipse and control days
but a quite different trend in the US and
the european RNG's on both days.
The data analysed using the specifications of the formal prediction don't
support an eclipse effect but they might indicate
some consistent difference in US and European RNG's as a function of
time of day (or local sidereal time?).
In order to evaluate the graphs, note that one datapoint is from 18 RNG's in
the eclipse data and from 19 RNG's in the control data. Thus the increase in
cumulative chi2 at sample 70 in the controldata (sum chi2=60, df = 19) has
an extreme low probability (p = 3.87 e-06). Even with correction for multiple analysis, selecting one of
74 points, this remains impressive (p = 0.0003). The divergences of the data sequences over the
three hour period are all significant, with probabilities of a few parts in 100 or less.
The following figures show comparisons of the data in Europe and the US.
An independent look at the data, using the raw trials and examining the behavior of individual eggs which were actually in the path of the eclipse, shows a strikingly consistent suggestion of positive correlation of deviations in the eclipse data compared with control data from the subsequent day.
(August, 1999, RDN, Figures by Dick Bierman).